微微导航 : 洛杉矶 : (美國) Los Angeles

• まぁ
• 2020/08/26 (Wed) 20:58
• 报告

金持ちは常に先を見据えて動きますからね。目先の恐怖に怯えているのは庶民だけ。株やら不動産投資に準備してますから。

• 最新不動産情報
• 2020/08/27 (Thu) 05:07
• 报告

- 全米の中古住宅不動産価格中間値は前年同時期よりも8.5％上昇。

- 7月の統計によると、全米では一つのリスティングに対してほぼ3件のオファーが提出されている。1年前の2件から上昇。

- Freddie Macの30年固定金利住宅ローンの平均利子率は2.96% に上昇。３％を下回る歴史的超低利子率ではあるけれど、今後の利子率上昇が懸念される。

- 超低利子率のため住宅ローンの申込数は昨年同時期よりも27％増加し、引き続き急増中。

- 売り物件不足。新規住宅売り物件数は過去6週間で最低レベル。先週に比べて７％減。

- 小売業販売額は一時期２０％減少したものの、その後急速に回復。7月の小売業販売額はコロナ前の2.7％増。

• 観光地では
• 2020/08/27 (Thu) 09:00
• 报告

ハワイの不動産はかなり価格が下がって来てますよ。

昨年の最高値の２０％減くらいで買えます。

• 世界人口の大半がアジアに集中
• 2020/08/27 (Thu) 09:20
• 报告

５月くらいからこれを機に帰国する人がまわりで増えてますね。
学生なんてもかなり帰りましたよ。

トランプの永住権とビザの新規申請をストップさせたのも大きいでしょうね。
若い人は中国を相手にビジネスした方が将来の可能性も遥かに大きいです。

• Housing market is on fire
• 2020/08/28 (Fri) 22:52
• 报告

観光業しかないハワイ以外は今後もまだまだ上がり続けるようです。

The U.S. Housing Market Is on Fire.
DAVID PAUL MORRIS/BLOOMBERG

Tony Bryant, 55, would have been thrilled to sell his late father’s house, a 980-square-foot ranch near Springfield, Mass., for $150,000. After all, he and his family were listing it in the midst of a historic pandemic.

The listing agent had bigger ambitions, however. He persuaded the family to raise the asking price to $175,000, and quickly returned with five offers, four above that level. In less than a week, the house sold for $185,000 to a couple in their early 30s buying their first home.

Stories like this have become familiar across the U.S. this summer, no matter the region or price point. Home-buyer interest has soared, fueled by demographic trends, ultralow interest rates, and urban flight spurred by the coronavirus pandemic. At the same time, a tighter-than-usual supply of existing homes and chronic underbuilding of new homes has led to bidding wars, rising prices, and a run-up in home-builder stocks.

Many housing experts expect the market to stay strong for several more years, at least. “You have the three largest population groups in our country potentially all looking for new homes right now,” says Jay McCanless, an analyst at Wedbush Securities, referring to baby boomers, millennials, and Generation Zers, now entering their 20s. “That’s a pretty optimistic scenario for home-building in the U.S.”

A bevy of rece to the housing market’s surprising strength. The nation’s homeownership rate hit 67.9% in the second quarter of 2020, the highest level since the third quarter of 2008, up from last year’s 64.1%, the Commerce Department reported last month. The ownership rate among those under 35 rose to 40.6%, showing the biggest percentage gain by age group quarter to quarter, while the rate for those 35 to 44 also rose significantly.

This past week, the U.S. Census Bureau reported that new-home sales surged 13.9% on a month-to-month basis in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 901,000, a 14-year high.

The median U.S. home price broke the $300,000 barrier in July for the first time, according to the National Association of Realtors, and the trade group expects prices to keep climbing as demand continues into 2021. But rising prices haven’t deterred younger buyers. Meritage saw a 32% jump in year-over-year orders in its latest fiscal quarter, surprising analysts.aaa
The so-called move-up market has also been a locus of strength. Just ask Jenny Hoff, 39, a buyer in Austin, Texas, who says her family recently traded up to a larger house to get more space for their children Although the Hoffs sold their old home in two days, they struggled to find a new home; sales were pending on most homes they looked at by the time they were ready to make an offer. What’s more, the first two offers they made were rejected, although both topped the asking price. Eventually, they found a two-story home on half an acre priced around $900,000, also paying more than the asking price.

It has been a market we have wanted to get into for a long time,” Taylor Morrison CEO Sheryl Palmer told Barron’s. “I think we bought in at the right time.”

Taylor Morrison sold 10,517 homes last year, generating revenue of $4.8 billion, up 13% year over year. Earnings totaled $254.7 million.

Toll Brothers, based in Horsham, Pa., is another way to play the strength of the move-up market. While a luxury-home builder might not seem an obvious pick during a recession, luxury-home prices, too, have been rising this year.

Toll, which builds in 24 states and specializes mostly in single-family homes, reported on Tuesday that signed home contracts were up 26% year over year in the latest quarter.
“The resale market is so hot that our core client isn’t worried about selling their home,” says Toll Brothers CEO Doug Yearley.

He expects the company to benefit from strength in the move-up demographic.
Home-building analysts expect the next phase of the housing market’s growth to favor some regions more than others. Demand in the pricey Northeast could flag while more-affordable states such as Idaho, Utah, Nevada, Florida, Tennessee, and the Carolinas see an uptick in buying. “While demand is strong in the tri-state area outside of New York City, and in the suburbs of Boston, I don’t know that it is likely to be sustainable,” Zelman says, pointing to long-term migration to more-affordable regions and markets.

To be sure, some trends that have boosted sales and prices.

“It would take about a 1½ million single-family homes built for about eight or 10 years to meet all of the demand there’s going to be,” says Smead.