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失業保険・追加補助金の延長 ($600?)と、($1200?)Stimulus Check 第2弾、いつになったらもらえるの?
- #1
-
- Hawaii-Suki
- 2020/08/06 15:30
失業保険の追加補助金と、Stimulus Check第2弾を含んだ、話合いがCongressで行われてますが、これがどうなるかの、皆さんの予想を聞きたいなと!
Democrat's は、UI(失業保険)の追加補助金の$600/週は絶対に必要だという立場で、一切妥協する気がない、強気の姿勢です。
Republican'sは、当初$200/週を2ヶ月行い、その後に、それぞれの収入の70%程度を支払いの基準にするという立場で、交渉が行われてましたが、
法案がまとまらないまま、時間ばかり経つのは望ましくないという意見が強く、明日、金曜日までに合意をしなければ、ホワイトハウスの参謀長 Mark Meadows氏が辞任すると表明したり、トランプさんも、早急に合意に達することが出来なければ大統領権限を発動し、Eviction Ban(強制立退き禁止 )や、UIの改善、Stimulus Checkの発行(噂程度)、などを強行するとDemocrat'sに牽制(脅し?)している状況で、明日までに基本合意にこじ付けられるのか? それとも、溝が埋まらず、Republican'sが設定している期限を超えて、泥沼化するのか?
勝手に予想しますと、明日までに発されるのは:
① 基本合意に達し、来週中に法案がまとめられ、成立! ← 1番望ましいですが、可能性は35%位ですかねー?
② 部分合意のみで終わり、さらに1週間の猶予を発表 ← 中々、溝は埋まらないのではないかと、可能性は45%かな?
③ 平行線を辿り、交渉決裂、トランプさんが大統領権限発動! ← 1番避けたい結果ですねー、可能性は20% (希望的観測)
皆さんの意見お聞かせください!
そして、UI追加補助金の件も、勝手に予測しますと、最終的に収まる金額は:
A) Democrat'sの勝利で、$600/週 ← Repが折れる可能性はあると思うから、可能性は40%
B) 間をとって、$400/週 ← 一番現実的かな? 可能性は50%
C)Republican'sが押し切り、$200/週、その後収入の70%に調整 ← これは、無いかなー、可能性は0%
D) 苦肉の策で、数カ月は$600/週、その後、$400/週 ← こんな感じで、お互いの顔を立ててもおかしく無いかな? 可能性は10%
個人的には、①とA)で収まってくれると、非常にうれしいんだけどなーー、難しいのかなーって思います。
ご意見をお聞かせください。
- #164
-
- wow
- 2020/08/19 (Wed) 13:33
- Report
#156さんが
>3か月ごとに支払い、失業者が出ると払うレートが多くなる。
と書かれていたので、157のコメントを書いたんです。
- #166
-
- ??
- 2020/08/19 (Wed) 14:29
- Report
週からの$100は払わないってこと?$300をフェデラルで払うようになったら、その分はもらえるのでは?
- #168
-
- temporary unemployed
- 2020/08/19 (Wed) 16:12
- Report
嫌な流れですね。
- #169
-
- うむむ。
- 2020/08/20 (Thu) 11:01
- Report
暇すぎて回答しますさん、
新しい共和党案はこれまでの案よりさらに半分の規模にスリムダウンされてしまいましたからね。学生ローンのリリーフもたしか消えてしまったのではなかったですか?
民主党と共和党と大統領の攻防も、すべてが茶番に見えてきました。
結局は選挙まで何もせず、すべては「もし当選したら」のぶらさげるニンジンになっちゃうのかもですねえ。
- #171
-
- w
- 2020/08/20 (Thu) 12:00
- Report
茶番に見えるのは当然です。
賛否はあれブッシュ、ゴアの時点で選挙は茶番と成り果てました。
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